Thank you Shopify (SHOP) – for leaving me in the dust

This is a painful story. Makes me a little sick to share it, but it’s for a good cause…yours and mine.

Prior to 2017, I considered myself a trader – with mixed success. Sure, I had some big winners, but I also had some big losers. And in some cases, I just held onto a trade way too long, wiping out months of trading profits in one day.

It was exhausting…and not profitable.

One of my trades was with a company called Shopify (SHOP).

I knew about Shopify before taking the trade, they are a “one stop shop” for anyone to quickly and easily setup e-commerce website’s, handling the payments, marketing, shipping and other tools. Huge companies like Tesla use Shopify…as well as tons of with a sole-proprietors making products to sell by hand at the kitchen table.

My trade took place on September 17, 2017. Here is a screenshot of the trading confirmation… buying at $120.43.

Below is the chart where my trade is highlighted, in yellow with the blue arrow.

Look at what happened next….a brutal decline.

Of course, since I was a trader, I was out of the trade, looking for the next “winner”.

Here is where the plot thickens…

Even thought I got out of the trade, I knew this was a solid company, it recently had it’s IPO about a year earlier and had moved from the $20’s up to where I was buying it in the $120’s. One might say it was overpriced.

I certainly bought at the high, didn’t I?

What did Shopify do after I sold it and where is it now?

Take a look.

There is my sorry-assed purchase, with the blue arrow. That downturn after I bought it barely registers on this weekly chart. It’s a blip on this chart.

This weekly chart is disgusting. Disgustingly profitable if you were an investor…a holder.

But remember, I was a trader at this time. I got out, looking for the next trade. Yet if I had held, look at where I would be today. Shopify was recently trading around $1,500! That is over 12 times my initial trade amount!

Sure it’s had a recent decline to around $1,185 but I would still be a holder. This stock is still going places. The business is firing on all cylinders.

What was my lesson here?

If I had just bought and held for the longer-term, I would have made over 12 times my initial investment…a “12-bagger”!

When you know what you own – Investing is easier than trading

Time is on your side when you are an investor. That is part of the definition of an investor, actually:

An investor is typically distinct from a trader. An investor puts capital to use for long-term gain, while a trader seeks to generate short-term profits by buying and selling securities over and over again.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/investor.asp

With my method of selecting stocks, I know that I am buying:

  • A profitable company
  • Financially stable – tons of cash, very little debt
  • Rapidly growing sales/earnings
  • Small cap…relatively “undiscovered”, so tons of room for growth
  • A catalyst – a story about why growth in sales and earnings will practically be on auto-pilot…guaranteed

Sure there are vicissitudes that cause stocks to dip here and there…but when you have everything going for a company (like Shopify), those dips are momentary blips.

Knowing what you own – a company that is growing rapidly, with growth as far as the eye can see, holding is a no-brainer. But only when you use time for your advantage. Let the story play out.

Why Shopify whipped my ass and taught me a lesson

Around this time in 2017, I decided that I needed to “diversify” away from my trading and start socking money away in taxable (non-retirement) accounts. I needed to find stocks to buy…AND HOLD.

Shopify was always in the back of my mind…as I watched it climb – without me.

I became an investor, dollar cost averaging $240 every two weeks. If I could find more Shopify-ies of the world, I would do well.

I had to trust that by consistently investing a fixed amount again and again and again, into companies that had all of the traits I was targeting, time would be on my side and I should do well.

Sure there would be dips, but I would ignore them. I had to trust what I owned. When you know the story behind a company -that you own a real company, not some “pump and dump” turd that has no earnings, a wreck of a balance sheet, issues shares in order to survive, etc…it is easy to hold.

And that is what I have done.

So thank you Shopify, for leaving me in the dust.

You taught me a lesson: I am not a trader…I am an investor.

Glenn