This is a painful story. Makes me a little sick to share it, but it’s for a good cause…yours and mine.
Prior to 2017, I considered myself a trader – with mixed success. Sure, I had some big winners, but I also had some big losers. And in some cases, I just held onto a trade way too long, wiping out months of trading profits in one day.
It was exhausting…and not profitable.
One of my trades was with a company called Shopify (SHOP).
I knew about Shopify before taking the trade, they are a “one stop shop” for anyone to quickly and easily setup e-commerce website’s, handling the payments, marketing, shipping and other tools. Huge companies like Tesla use Shopify…as well as tons of with a sole-proprietors making products to sell by hand at the kitchen table.
My trade took place on September 17, 2017. Here is a screenshot of the trading confirmation… buying at $120.43.
Below is the chart where my trade is highlighted, in yellow with the blue arrow.
Look at what happened next….a brutal decline.
Of course, since I was a trader, I was out of the trade, looking for the next “winner”.
Here is where the plot thickens…
Even thought I got out of the trade, I knew this was a solid company, it recently had it’s IPO about a year earlier and had moved from the $20’s up to where I was buying it in the $120’s. One might say it was overpriced.
I certainly bought at the high, didn’t I?
What did Shopify do after I sold it and where is it now?
Take a look.
There is my sorry-assed purchase, with the blue arrow. That downturn after I bought it barely registers on this weekly chart. It’s a blip on this chart.
This weekly chart is disgusting. Disgustingly profitable if you were an investor…a holder.
But remember, I was a trader at this time. I got out, looking for the next trade. Yet if I had held, look at where I would be today. Shopify was recently trading around $1,500! That is over 12 times my initial trade amount!
Sure it’s had a recent decline to around $1,185 but I would still be a holder. This stock is still going places. The business is firing on all cylinders.
What was my lesson here?
If I had just bought and held for the longer-term, I would have made over 12 times my initial investment…a “12-bagger”!
When you know what you own – Investing is easier than trading
Time is on your side when you are an investor. That is part of the definition of an investor, actually:
An investor is typically distinct from a trader. An investor puts capital to use for long-term gain, while a trader seeks to generate short-term profits by buying and selling securities over and over again.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/investor.asp
With my method of selecting stocks, I know that I am buying:
- A profitable company
- Financially stable – tons of cash, very little debt
- Rapidly growing sales/earnings
- Small cap…relatively “undiscovered”, so tons of room for growth
- A catalyst – a story about why growth in sales and earnings will practically be on auto-pilot…guaranteed
Sure there are vicissitudes that cause stocks to dip here and there…but when you have everything going for a company (like Shopify), those dips are momentary blips.
Knowing what you own – a company that is growing rapidly, with growth as far as the eye can see, holding is a no-brainer. But only when you use time for your advantage. Let the story play out.
Why Shopify whipped my ass and taught me a lesson
Around this time in 2017, I decided that I needed to “diversify” away from my trading and start socking money away in taxable (non-retirement) accounts. I needed to find stocks to buy…AND HOLD.
Shopify was always in the back of my mind…as I watched it climb – without me.
I became an investor, dollar cost averaging $240 every two weeks. If I could find more Shopify-ies of the world, I would do well.
I had to trust that by consistently investing a fixed amount again and again and again, into companies that had all of the traits I was targeting, time would be on my side and I should do well.
Sure there would be dips, but I would ignore them. I had to trust what I owned. When you know the story behind a company -that you own a real company, not some “pump and dump” turd that has no earnings, a wreck of a balance sheet, issues shares in order to survive, etc…it is easy to hold.
And that is what I have done.
So thank you Shopify, for leaving me in the dust.
You taught me a lesson: I am not a trader…I am an investor.
Glenn